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7 days ago

Painful Reminders (Part I): The Celtics Drafted JaJuan Johnson Instead of Jimmy Butler

On June 23rd, 2011, Brian Robb and I stood around a high top bar table in Tommy Doyle’s in Kendall Square.  Before us lay one of the biggest mounds of buffalo chicken wings I had ever endeavor to make disappear.  These 25 cent flappers- one of the few indulgences afforded to the participants of our [...]

19
8 days ago

Chris Wilcox: 2012-13 Final Grade

There are a number of contextually-appropriate ways to craft this post. One would be to forgo words entirely, and represent Chris Wilcox’s entire season with a series of videos. That would involve one part of this: For every eight parts of this: Note the headline on that second clip. Someone was so amused/enraged by Wilcox’s [...]

12
9 days ago

Rajon Rondo’s 2012-13 Final Grade

Here’s a sweeping general statement involving super specific statistics that may or may not mean anything: In the 1423 minutes Rajon Rondo played this season, the Boston Celtics were outscored by 1.3 points per 100 possessions. When he sat (including all contests after he tore his ACL), Boston was better than their opponents by 1.8 [...]

93
9 days ago

Avery Bradley Elected to NBA All-Defense Second Team

Avery Bradley has been a standout defender for the past couple seasons…in the regular season anyway. Now he has a trophy to prove it. The NBA announced this afternoon that the third-year guard has been elected by coaches around the league to the second-team all-NBA defensive team for the first time in his career. Bradley [...]

13
12 days ago

Paul Pierce’s Contract: Dispelling The Myths and Stating The Facts

The first domino to fall this offseason is Paul Pierce’s contract. Until Danny Ainge figures out what he’s doing there, little else matters. As we wait for this decision, we also must face the rest of the offseason, which means it is also rumor season. With that time of year, comes plenty of information floating [...]

42
13 days ago

Final Grade: Avery Bradley (C+)

In his third year in the league, in which promising players often make brash leaps from benchwarmer to starter, from starter to star, Avery Bradley took a big step back. But his regression might be deceptive. When he returned to the Celtics’ lineup on January the 2nd after two in-season months recovering from offseason shoulder [...]

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Rondo Extension Talks Start…NOW

From the Globe (hat tip: CelticsBlog):

A league source said the Celtics plan to hold talks with Rondo before the start of training camp later this month. Rondo has one year and an option remaining on his contract.

There isn’t a more pressing basketball issue facing the team than how much money Rajon Rondo is worth. We’ve already discussed that after a few promising fits and starts, Rondo’s jump shot—the biggest weakness in his game—took a step back last season. That alone should dismiss any talk that Rondo is a max-level player at this point. 

Jeff Clark at CB reminds us that Cedric Maxwell once reported Rondo would accept a five-year, $50 million deal. My gut says that I’d sign that deal right now. Look at the list of player salaries from DraftExpress, and you’ll see that most of the players making around $10 million/year are, like Rondo, second (or even third) option-types who nonetheless are very productive. Some of the names: David West, Luol Deng, Memo Okur, Gerald Wallace, Andrew Bogut, Cory Maggette, Emeka Okafor, Josh Smith, Manu Ginobili.  (Some of the funnier names: Eddy Curry, Bobby Simmons, Larry Hughes. Ha!)

That feels about right for Rondo. None of those guys are superstars or first options, and almost all of them have some significant weakness in their games. But they are very, very valuable players who each bring something unique and desirable, whether it be shot-blocking (Okafor), the ability to get to the foul line (Maggette) or superfantastic clutchness and Argentine sex appeal (Manu). 

Then again, all of these deals were signed when the economy was booming and NBA teams had healther, if not outstanding, bottom lines. Instead of negotiating now, should the Celtics wait until the end of next year and play hardball, hoping none of the teams under the cap throws Rondo a huge offer? That can be a dangerous game, because it can spur ill will between the player and the team and result in Rondo signing a one-year deal (for at least the $3.1 million qualifying offer) and becoming an unrestricted free agent the next season—and, perhaps, a pissed off free agent at that. 

Then again, salary is a real concern for the Celtics, as you all know. The C’s will be paying about $50 million to Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Perk, ‘Sheed and Big Baby alone for 2010-11, meaning they’ll blow right past the salary cap (and likely the luxury tax) if they extend both Rondo and Ray Allen at something resembling fair market value. And they’d still have to fill out the rest of the roster. The books become much cleaner in 2011-2012, but that’s assuming Pierce and Ray Allen are both gone by then, and that’s a questionable assumption. 

In any case, after Rondo’s tumultuous off-season, it might be best to get some friendly talks going. That’s where we have to rely on the C’s executive team, and, I have to say, it feels good as a fan knowing your team’s executives know what the hell they are doing.

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