Game 36/82: Atlanta (23-13) @ C’s (26-9)

By Brian Robb, CelticsHub.com @ January 11th, 3:42 pm Leave a reply »

docAtlanta at Boston
7:30 p.m. EST
TD Garden
Local TV/Radio: CSN/WEEI

Opposing viewpoint: Hoopinion

Offensive Efficiency:

Boston: 109 points/100 possessions (10th)

Atlanta: 111 points/100 possessions (3rd)

Defensive Efficiency:

Boston: 101.2 points allowed/100 possessions (2nd)

Atlanta: 105.8 points allowed/100 possessions (12th)

Probable Atlanta Starters:

Mike Bibby, Joe Johnson, Marvin Williams, Josh Smith, Al Hortford

Injury Report

Atlanta: None

Boston: OUT: Marquis Daniels, Kevin Garnett

Thumbnail: The C’s will once again be seeing a familiar foe tonight, coming off a loss just 2 nights earlier against the Hawks. Zach Lowe previewed the Hawks just last Friday with a great Q and A with Bret LaGree, author of the Hawks blog Hoopinion. Be sure to check out that back and forth conversation here. In the meantime, here is a quick refresher on the Hawks that have owned the C’s lately.

WHAT THE HAWKS DO WELL:

All Around Offense

There are many things the Hawks do well on the offensive end of the floor, shown by their top notch ranking in offensive efficiency. Like the Celtics, they have 5 starters capable of putting up 20 points on any given night, so it’s very difficult to keep their numbers down A few of the highlights of their production:

*Fewest turnovers in the league per game

*9th in FG Shooting Percentage

*7th in 3pt FG Shooting Percentage

*11th in offensive rebounding

Beating the Celtics

Going 2-0 against the Green thus far this year, Atlanta has proven they can play with the big boys. Their youth and athleticism makes them a tough matchup for the Green. A 3rd win tonight though would be a big indicator of whether Atlanta has Boston’s number this year.

WHAT THE HAWKS DO POORLY

Getting to the Line

For a team that is so good offensively, they sure find other ways to do it besides getting to the charity stripe. Ranking 24th in the league in FT attempts this year, they have no player they can count on getting to the line on a consistent basis, with Josh Smith leading the pack at just 4.9 free throw attempts per game.

Defending the 3 ball

Atlanta is currently 27th in the league in opponent 3 point FG percentage, allowing team to shoot 37.4 percent from deep this year. The C’s have yet to make Atlanta pay in this department in their 2 games this year, but coming off a hot shooting performance yesterday in Toronto, the troops may be in position to keep it up tonight.

PLAYERS WHO MAKES ME WORRY

Josh Smith

I don’t worry so much about his play as a whole, since I still find him to be an inconsistent offensive player but the matchup tonight against Rasheed scares me if Friday night was any indicator. Smith is an athletic freak and Sheed doesn’t have the ability to keep the guy in front of him. Hopefully he learns from his mistakes, if not look for Smith to take advantage going off of a terrible performance in Orlando Saturday.

PLAYERS WHO DO NOT MAKE ME WORRY

The rest of the Atlanta bench outside of Jamal Crawford

These guys haven’t done much this year and really lack the offensive firepower to give the C’s any real problems. Jeff Teague has shown flashes, but is still a rookie. Maurice Evans and Joe Smith? Meh. Zaza is the one guy who has shown some fire against the C’s in previous games but he hasn’t been getting enough minutes lately (13.8/game in last 10) to be much of a factor.

WHAT WE WANT TO SEE FROM THE C’S TONIGHT

Help from the Bench

This is the C’s 3rd game in 4 nights. In the previous two games, the C’s bench have only played 80 minutes altogether, causing Doc to rely heavily on the starters, especially Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen. Now I don’t blame Doc totally here, since the bench has done little to show Doc he can afford to keep them in there tomorrow lately. Tonight though, with TA hopefully back to full health, I’d like to see some consistent production from Eddie, Big Baby and TA to push the C’s over the top and help keep the starters fresh, down the stretch.

PREDICTION

My reverse jinx worked perfectly yesterday in picking the Raptors, so I’m tempted to go with the Hawks again here to ride the hot streak. Given that the C’s have lost two to these guys all ready and Atlanta looks to be having their own problems lately (4-6 in last 10, 33 point loss in Orlando Saturday) I gotta go with the C’s to rebound from their Friday night loss.

Celtics 99, Hawks 94

8 Responses

  1. Still enjoying #17 says:

    Atlanta is about to get Rondo’d

  2. Jay P says:

    Big game tonight, this is a game where the mettle of this team will really be tested.

    It’s easy to get complacent here and in the last game, to take any loss, or a less than perfect game and say hey… we didn’t have Daniels or Garnett.

    But this Celtics team, with the addition of Sheed, a healthy Davis, and Tony Allen playing better then we’ve seen him play yet, is a contender with or without Garnett. Time for us to see them step up and get a big win here.

  3. Tommy P says:

    I am lucky enough to be going to the game tonight. I Cant wait to see this match up after Saturday’s game.

    These teams are too close when the C’s don’t have KG.

    Bold move by B Robb picking the Cs. I hope we come out on top this time, but it I think it is too close to call.

    What is the over under on the number of 3′s Sheed attempts tonight? I am going to set the bar at 8 and Ill take the over.

  4. Zach Lowe says:

    Is it me, or does Doc look a little like Channing Frye on that bball card Robb dug up for this post?

  5. urbeltic says:

    I’m not sure about Channing Frye, but his shorts sure were tight.

  6. dont_drink_the_koolaid says:

    I remember that Doc card! ….probably still in my parents basement.

    This frontcourt matchup is nasty for the Cs without KG :/ Rest of the guys have to make up the difference.

    @TommyP: Sheed over/under on 3s should be a running contest every game :) Based on success against the raps…i’ll take ‘over’ 8

  7. dont_drink_the_koolaid says:

    @Zach Doc sure looks like channing in that one (shadow makes his head look skinny) ….and there’s a young woodson patrolling the sidelines in the background

  8. MP says:

    Rasheed is out for tonight…

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