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6 days ago

Painful Reminders (Part I): The Celtics Drafted JaJuan Johnson Instead of Jimmy Butler

On June 23rd, 2011, Brian Robb and I stood around a high top bar table in Tommy Doyle’s in Kendall Square.  Before us lay one of the biggest mounds of buffalo chicken wings I had ever endeavor to make disappear.  These 25 cent flappers- one of the few indulgences afforded to the participants of our [...]

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7 days ago

Chris Wilcox: 2012-13 Final Grade

There are a number of contextually-appropriate ways to craft this post. One would be to forgo words entirely, and represent Chris Wilcox’s entire season with a series of videos. That would involve one part of this: For every eight parts of this: Note the headline on that second clip. Someone was so amused/enraged by Wilcox’s [...]

12
8 days ago

Rajon Rondo’s 2012-13 Final Grade

Here’s a sweeping general statement involving super specific statistics that may or may not mean anything: In the 1423 minutes Rajon Rondo played this season, the Boston Celtics were outscored by 1.3 points per 100 possessions. When he sat (including all contests after he tore his ACL), Boston was better than their opponents by 1.8 [...]

93
9 days ago

Avery Bradley Elected to NBA All-Defense Second Team

Avery Bradley has been a standout defender for the past couple seasons…in the regular season anyway. Now he has a trophy to prove it. The NBA announced this afternoon that the third-year guard has been elected by coaches around the league to the second-team all-NBA defensive team for the first time in his career. Bradley [...]

13
12 days ago

Paul Pierce’s Contract: Dispelling The Myths and Stating The Facts

The first domino to fall this offseason is Paul Pierce’s contract. Until Danny Ainge figures out what he’s doing there, little else matters. As we wait for this decision, we also must face the rest of the offseason, which means it is also rumor season. With that time of year, comes plenty of information floating [...]

42
12 days ago

Final Grade: Avery Bradley (C+)

In his third year in the league, in which promising players often make brash leaps from benchwarmer to starter, from starter to star, Avery Bradley took a big step back. But his regression might be deceptive. When he returned to the Celtics’ lineup on January the 2nd after two in-season months recovering from offseason shoulder [...]

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The Defendant: Big Baby. The Crime: Tugging On An Injured Thumb. The Verdict: ???

Cleveland commentators have accused Glen Davis of playing dirty by tugging on Shaq’s thumb moments after Davis injured that thumb on a shot block attempt. Those commentators came to that conclusion after television replays (which we’ll look at below) clearly showed Davis grabbing Shaq’s thumb.

In an interview with the Boston Herald this weekend, Baby claimed the replays were taken out of context—that the the thumb-grabbing they showed happened before the shot block that initially hurt Shaq’s thumb. Here’s Baby:

“I was like, ‘That’s false,’ ” Davis said. “They edited that. That was before he hurt his hand.”

Baby also claimed he and Shaq—who have known each other for years via the LSU connection—have a playful relationship, and that while he might try to (playfully) irritate Shaq during games, he’d never hurt the Diesel on purpose.

But who’s right about the timing of the alleged thumb tug (which, regrettably, sounds like something dirty).

Well, it shouldn’t be too hard to figure out. The shot block took place at the 7:37 mark of the 2nd quarter, according to play-by-play data. Shaq left the game 39 seconds later. Over those 39 seconds, Cleveland had the ball twice sandwiched around one Boston possession.

The first Cavs possession lasted four seconds, and there’s no evidence of any thumb-wrestling during Boston’s possession.

That leaves the last Cleveland possession.

Let’s fire up the video machine in the crime lab to see what evidence we have against Baby.

Let’s start with the slow-mo replay the commentators used to convict Baby without a trial:

Take note of a few pieces of evidence:

1) Davis starts the clip playing Shaq from the side in a sort of half-front, leaning on Shaq’s left shoulder. Baby’s left arm is reaching across Shaq’s stomach and grabbing Shaq’s right hand;

2) There is a referee standing directly behind Shaq at the start of the clip. After a few seconds, the referee moves to his right along the baseline—or right-to-left on our televisions;

3) Jawad Williams cuts across the foreground from left to right;

4) Tony Allen jogs about a step behind Williams;

5) As the clip proceeds, Shaq and Baby (but especially Shaq) shift their field of vision from the top of the key over to the left wing (i.e. their heads turn right to left on our TV screens);

6) As the clip ends, Davis rotates into a position that is more nearly a traditional fronting stance.

Got all that? Good. Now, let’s watch the possession in question—that second Cleveland possession—in its in-game context (note the time time/score on the bottom of the screen) to see if it matches up with the thumb-tugging replay:

Admit it, guys: This does not look good for Glen Davis. We’ve got Baby leaning on Shaq’s left shoulder; Mo Williams taking the ball from the top of the key to the left wing;  the official on the baseline moving right to left; Jawad Williams cutting across above the foul line, followed by Tony Allen a step behind; and increased jostling as Mo readies to throw his entry pass to Shaq.

One other note: You can see a photographer in a light blue shirt snapping photos in the first clip. If you look really carefully, you can see a person who appears to be that same photographer in the same photo-shooting position in the second clip—right behind the official strolling by on the baseline.

Am I missing an on obvious difference between the two clips that exonerates Baby? I sort of hope I am, and it wouldn’t be the first time I’ve made a mistake in life.

But after a bunch of viewings, this appears to be pretty decent evidence that Glen Davis a) tugged on Shaq’s thumb after he knew it was banged up; and b) fibbed about in the Herald or honestly misremembered the chronology of the game when talking to the Herald reporter who did the story.

Our own Brendan Jackson points out two things in Baby’s defense: 1) So much jostling and shady contact happens in a basketball game that Baby really could have no honest and accurate memory of when he grabbed Shaq’s thumb—and he could have done it on multiple possessions. (My response to Brendan is that grabbing Shaq’s thumb on purpose seems like a weird thing to just randomly do, though we’ve seen Reggie Evans and others do some, umm, possibly inappropriate grabbing); and 2) Shaq does not appear visibly upset or pained by the thumb grab, and (as commenter Isuhornet17 points out) didn’t ask out of the game until he caught Williams’ entry pass on this play and tried to grip the ball.

Then again, he’s having surgery and will miss two months, and it’s unknown whether the thumb-grab had any aggravating effect.

I still hope someone can exonerate Baby here.

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