Logo
The Ticker
22 hours ago

Greg Stiemsma’s Contract To Become Fully Guaranteed

The C’s gave their 26-year-old rookie a vote of confidence before Tuesday’s game. By not waiving the seven-footer, Stiemsma’s contract will become fully guaranteed on Friday, allowing the shot blocker to breath a little bit and perhaps unpack some boxes for good in Beantown. Here’s Chris Forsberg of ESPN Boston with some reaction from Stiemsma and [...]

1
2 days ago

5 Questions With Kemba Walker

I had a chance to talk with Bobcats rookie Kemba Walker prior to the Celtics game against Charlotte on Tuesday night.  Here is what the UConn star, who is averaging 12.3 points, 4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game had to say. 1. How much communication have you had with Michael Jordan this year? Walker: [...]

1
2 days ago

I Am Awesome!

Yes. This is a “pat myself on the back” post because a) I’m a jackass and b) I predicted something correctly. Back on January 8th, I predicted that the next ten games will tell us everything we need to know about this Celtics’ team. If they struggled, it was time to blow it up. If [...]

1
3 days ago

Pierce Wins Eastern Conference Player Of Week

One day before he’s scheduled to pass Larry Bird for second on the Celtics’ all-time scoring list, Paul Pierce won the Eastern Conference Player of the Week award. Pierce averaged 22 points, 6.3 assists and 5.8 rebounds in four Boston wins, playing point forward in Rajon Rondo’s absence. Pierce is only 9 points behind Bird [...]

1
4 days ago

Garnett’s Wondrous 3-point Rant

Via ESPN Boston’s Chris Forsberg, who knows a great, playful rant when he hears one, here’s Kevin Garnett discussing his not-so-newfound aptitude for three-point shooting after the C’s took down the Grizzlies. “When I walk around the streets, y’all stop acting like y’all shocked that I can shoot 3’s. Everybody in Boston, everybody in the [...]

3
4 days ago

5 Questions With O.J. Mayo

I talked with Memphis guard O.J. Mayo prior to the Celtics-Grizzlies, Super Bowl Sunday game at the Garden.  Here is what the 4th year man out of USC, who is averaging 12.5 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 2 assists per game had to say. 1. You started every game your first two years in the league, [...]

2
Browse Archives by:

Are the C’s a Bigger Underdog Than We Realize?

If you read TrueHoop, you probably saw that ESPN and AccuScore introduced a mega-addictive Playoff Predictor, which uses secret math to simulate the entire post-season—and allows you to build your own brackets, seeding teams where you want. (Note: The math really is secret, at least to us. In introducing the Predictor, John Hollinger writes that the math has some similarities with his power rankings but some notable differences. The Predictor, for instance, values crunch-time performance/late-game success more than Hollinger’s stuff does).

In any case, you can easily kill an hour or two monkeying around with The Predictor. And one thing you’d find: The math behind The Predictor thinks the C’s have little to no chance of winning the title.

Using current seedings, The Predictor gives the C’s a 73 percent of advancing past the Bucks in the 4-5 series. Fine. What about against Cleveland in the next round? 60-40, Cavs? 70-30?

Try 82-18, Cleveland. So: The Bucks have a better chance of beating the C’s than Boston does of getting by Cleveland.

Of course, the C’s could still get the 3rd seed, in which case they’d face Orlando in the semi-finals (if they get that far).

The percentages on that series? 73-27, Orlando.

So, yeah: This system does not consider the Celtics to be anything like serious contenders.

In that spirit:

Predictor Contest: The first reader who produces a legitimate Predictor Bracket with the C’s as champions wins a prize.* Photo proof required.

* Prize may not exist

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>