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8 days ago

Paul Pierce’s Contract: Dispelling The Myths and Stating The Facts

The first domino to fall this offseason is Paul Pierce’s contract. Until Danny Ainge figures out what he’s doing there, little else matters. As we wait for this decision, we also must face the rest of the offseason, which means it is also rumor season. With that time of year, comes plenty of information floating [...]

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8 days ago

Final Grade: Avery Bradley (C+)

In his third year in the league, in which promising players often make brash leaps from benchwarmer to starter, from starter to star, Avery Bradley took a big step back. But his regression might be deceptive. When he returned to the Celtics’ lineup on January the 2nd after two in-season months recovering from offseason shoulder [...]

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9 days ago

Danny Ainge Expects Doc Rivers & Kevin Garnett To Return, Unsure About Paul Pierce

A long, challenging offseason awaits Danny Ainge this summer. Before he dives in head first, he joined Salk and Holley on WEEI-FM 93.7 to discuss the multitude of decisions facing him this offseason, as well as the progress of Rajon Rondo in his rehab from ACL surgery. A few of the notable highlights from the interview. Ainge [...]

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9 days ago

Suns Hire Away Celtics’ Assistant GM Ryan McDonough

In one way or another, there will be change this offseason in Boston. That process started in the past couple days, with the first piece moving out coming as a name most C’s fans might not be familiar with. Yet, it was Celtics’ assistant general manager Ryan McDonough, one of Danny Ainge’s top lieutenants, who [...]

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10 days ago

Doc Rivers Finishes 13th in Coach of the Year Voting

It was a tough season for the Boston Celtics, and that includes for head coach Doc Rivers. The long-time coach battled to find the right fit for a lot of new pieces that were both underperforming and/or failed to pick up his schemes on both ends of the floor. Naturally, an unfortunate plethora of injuries [...]

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11 days ago

Overconfident Answers To Offseason Questions (Part 1)

It seems like every offseason since 2010 we’ve been through this: a myriad of questions and concerns about the Celtics’ roster that usually involve the possibility of the core of the team being dismantled. As we head into the summer of 2013, we’ve got a whole batch of questions, many of which will be familiar.  [...]

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Video: Helping Off of Matt Barnes

Going into Game 5, everyone wondered: If Jameer Nelson remains aggressive on the screen/roll, how would the Celtics cope defensively? Boston can’t possibly collapse on Nelson and guard all of Orlando’s other weapons, can they?

No, they can’t. If Nelson continues to get in the lane, the Celtics have to help and rotate in a way that leaves the Magic with the option Boston considers the least threatening. When the Magic’s screen/roll attack is working, someone is going to get a decent look. No defense can prevent that, at least not every time down the floor. So the question becomes: Which Orlando player do you want taking that decent look?

Early in Game 5, the Celtics clearly wanted that player to be Matt Barnes.

That strategy makes sense, considering Barnes is a below-average three-point shooter on a team stacked with good perimeter shooters. It’s the mathematically sound choice.

But Barnes hurt the C’s early by hitting a corner three and a three from the top of the arc, a spot from which Barnes hit only 3 three-pointers in 16 attempts all season, according to NBA.com Hot Spots:

Check out how far from Barnes Pierce has already drifted when Dwight Howard sets a screen for Jameer Nelson:

And this is before Howard has even started his roll to the hoop! By the time Nelson actually passes to Barnes, Pierce is all the way down at the dotted line. You can see that Tony Allen also sags down into the paint off of J.J. Redick on the left wing, but a) he doesn’t give Redick as much space as Pierce gives Barnes; and b) Barnes is a simple, short pass from Nelson, while getting the ball to Redick requires a difficult and long skip pass.

This shows me the C’s have made a choice to treat Barnes as the least dangerous Orlando player.

Here’s another play from the 1st quarter, this time with Ray Allen on Barnes:

This is another Nelson/Howard pick-and-roll on the right side, with Barnes once again filling the space at the top of the arc as the nearest kick-out target for Nelson. And watch again as Barnes’ defender (Ray) sags well below the foul line to help on Howard:

This time, Barnes uses Ray Allen’s momentum against him by driving to the hoop and setting up Howard for a lob that results in a KG foul.

Here’s another example, this time on a Lewis/Nelson pick-and-roll on the left wing with Barnes spotting up on the right side:

Pierce cuts off Nelson and gives Barnes plenty of room:

For whatever reason, Nelson doesn’t pass the ball to Barnes here—perhaps because he understands that Barnes taking a three from the wing is a low percentage option compared to what the Magic might get by resetting and running something else.

Barnes finished the first quarter with 6 points on 2-of-5 shooting, and he did just enough to punish Boston for so obviously helping off of him. Questions for Game 6 include:

1) Do the C’s use this strategy again?

2) Can Barnes hurt Boston again?

3) If he can’t, how quickly will Stan Van Gundy pull him for someone else?

4) How does Boston adjust when Barnes is off the floor?

The very fact that we are having a discussion about which Orlando player Boston might choose to leave open as a last resort shows how much the dynamic of this series has changed. Orlando’s offense is dictating to Boston’s defense.

We can only hope the terms of engagement change in Boston tonight.

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