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9 hours ago

Jason Terry’s 2012-13 Final Grade

  Acquiring any player, whether it’s via trade, free agency, or the draft, comes with an air of uncertainty. The NBA has no guaranteed covenant and all sales are final, no matter how talented, proven, or productive the player may have been in year’s past. But these memories—especially recent ones—often clouds the judgment of a [...]

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9 days ago

Painful Reminders (Part I): The Celtics Drafted JaJuan Johnson Instead of Jimmy Butler

On June 23rd, 2011, Brian Robb and I stood around a high top bar table in Tommy Doyle’s in Kendall Square.  Before us lay one of the biggest mounds of buffalo chicken wings I had ever endeavor to make disappear.  These 25 cent flappers- one of the few indulgences afforded to the participants of our [...]

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10 days ago

Chris Wilcox: 2012-13 Final Grade

There are a number of contextually-appropriate ways to craft this post. One would be to forgo words entirely, and represent Chris Wilcox’s entire season with a series of videos. That would involve one part of this: For every eight parts of this: Note the headline on that second clip. Someone was so amused/enraged by Wilcox’s [...]

12
11 days ago

Rajon Rondo’s 2012-13 Final Grade

Here’s a sweeping general statement involving super specific statistics that may or may not mean anything: In the 1423 minutes Rajon Rondo played this season, the Boston Celtics were outscored by 1.3 points per 100 possessions. When he sat (including all contests after he tore his ACL), Boston was better than their opponents by 1.8 [...]

94
11 days ago

Avery Bradley Elected to NBA All-Defense Second Team

Avery Bradley has been a standout defender for the past couple seasons…in the regular season anyway. Now he has a trophy to prove it. The NBA announced this afternoon that the third-year guard has been elected by coaches around the league to the second-team all-NBA defensive team for the first time in his career. Bradley [...]

13
14 days ago

Paul Pierce’s Contract: Dispelling The Myths and Stating The Facts

The first domino to fall this offseason is Paul Pierce’s contract. Until Danny Ainge figures out what he’s doing there, little else matters. As we wait for this decision, we also must face the rest of the offseason, which means it is also rumor season. With that time of year, comes plenty of information floating [...]

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Is it that easy to guard Dwight Howard?

Yesterday’s Daily Dime over at ESPN had a couple of must reads for Celtics’ fan.  One is a long exposé by Jackie MacMullan where the veteran Boston reporter gives detailed information and analysis on Danny Ainge’s style as a GM.  Apparently he does not shy away from making any big trades that might anger the Boston faithful.  Not exactly something we didn’t already know but MacMullan makes it interesting nonetheless.

MacMullan’s piece was great, but the Dime piece that piqued my interest was John Hollinger’s analysis of the new Dwight Howard stopper:  Jason Collins.  As soon as I started reading this, I thought to myself, “really?”  It can’t be that easy to guard Dwight HowardKendrick Perkins has essentially made his career on being the one guy in the NBA that can actually effectively guard Dwight Howard one on one.  So now we can assume that Jason Collins is as good at guarding Howard as Perkins?  Seriously, if that were the case than Ainge has even more firepower to throw at the trade detractors.

No one is making any of these illogical leaps other than me and mine are of course more tongue and cheek than anything else (I don’t need to tell you how good Kendrick Perkins is).  But still, Hollinger does break down the ways Collins found success in guarding the NBA’s best big man in the Hawks win the other night.  And you’ll be happy to know that what Hollinger found can be easily replicated by a healthy* Celtics’ front line:

Here’s an example of something Collins did the other night to stop Howard that just screams of Glen “Big Baby” Davis:

“Collins started all four meetings this season, and the Hawks held Orlando to an average of 82.5 points in those games. The key was not just that he limited Howard’s points and periodically got him out of the game entirely with his penchant for drawing charging fouls, but that his single coverage took away Orlando’s 3-point game. Orlando made only 19 of 84 3-point attempts in the four meetings; that’s obviously a lower rate of accuracy than the Magic’s norm, but perhaps more notably a lower frequency of attempts.”

And doesn’t this sound like something Shaquille O’Neal could take care of with little or no adjustment period?

“Collins did one other thing as well that had Howard and the Magic upset — when Howard got a clear look, Collins fouled him. HARD. A neck-tie by Collins in the second quarter had Howard particularly vexed, especially in the wake of the near-scandalous officiating at the end of Monday’s loss to the Knicks. Amazingly, Howard has not had an opponent called for a flagrant foul the entire season.”

And here’s Magic Coach Stan Van Gundy on Collins defense against Howard:

“That’s the best defense on [Howard] on all year,” Van Gundy said. “[Collins] did a great job. [Howard] missed a couple of good shots against Horford, but against Collins he didn’t even get many good shots. I thought he did a great job on him.  He’s big, he’s physical, he doesn’t give him many angles to the basket, he doesn’t give him anything easy, and Dwight had trouble just getting good, on-balance shots.”

Doesn’t this sound exactly like what Van Gundy has  been saying about Perkins for the last few years.

Dwight Howard has diversified his offensive game this year enough that no one can really shut him down.  You chest him up, he drives by you.  You give him space, he has a reliable (enough) banker.  But the point is that what Collins did last night has been the game plan for Howard’s entire career.  Some teams just have the personnel to get it done and some don’t.  I believe the Celtics have that personnel even without Perkins.

What do ya’ll think?  Do the Celtics have enough without Kendrick Perkins to stop Howard?  Are you more worried about Andrew Bynum should the Celtics and Lakers meet in the Finals again?

*Always, always, always the caveat.

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