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6 days ago

Painful Reminders (Part I): The Celtics Drafted JaJuan Johnson Instead of Jimmy Butler

On June 23rd, 2011, Brian Robb and I stood around a high top bar table in Tommy Doyle’s in Kendall Square.  Before us lay one of the biggest mounds of buffalo chicken wings I had ever endeavor to make disappear.  These 25 cent flappers- one of the few indulgences afforded to the participants of our [...]

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7 days ago

Chris Wilcox: 2012-13 Final Grade

There are a number of contextually-appropriate ways to craft this post. One would be to forgo words entirely, and represent Chris Wilcox’s entire season with a series of videos. That would involve one part of this: For every eight parts of this: Note the headline on that second clip. Someone was so amused/enraged by Wilcox’s [...]

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8 days ago

Rajon Rondo’s 2012-13 Final Grade

Here’s a sweeping general statement involving super specific statistics that may or may not mean anything: In the 1423 minutes Rajon Rondo played this season, the Boston Celtics were outscored by 1.3 points per 100 possessions. When he sat (including all contests after he tore his ACL), Boston was better than their opponents by 1.8 [...]

93
9 days ago

Avery Bradley Elected to NBA All-Defense Second Team

Avery Bradley has been a standout defender for the past couple seasons…in the regular season anyway. Now he has a trophy to prove it. The NBA announced this afternoon that the third-year guard has been elected by coaches around the league to the second-team all-NBA defensive team for the first time in his career. Bradley [...]

13
12 days ago

Paul Pierce’s Contract: Dispelling The Myths and Stating The Facts

The first domino to fall this offseason is Paul Pierce’s contract. Until Danny Ainge figures out what he’s doing there, little else matters. As we wait for this decision, we also must face the rest of the offseason, which means it is also rumor season. With that time of year, comes plenty of information floating [...]

42
12 days ago

Final Grade: Avery Bradley (C+)

In his third year in the league, in which promising players often make brash leaps from benchwarmer to starter, from starter to star, Avery Bradley took a big step back. But his regression might be deceptive. When he returned to the Celtics’ lineup on January the 2nd after two in-season months recovering from offseason shoulder [...]

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Nobody Can Stop KG, Except KG

Hyperbole aside, there’s some truth in that headline. Let’s explore.

Here are Doc Rivers’ postgame comments on Kevin Garnett playing the entire third quarter of game three:

“It was funny. You could tell he needed the break with two minutes left. About two minutes in the quarter and I know his run. His head’s bobbing; you could just see it. And I called a punch, a post play for him and he called it off and tried to call a movement play and I called it back. And I went right back and said, “No, we’re going to the post. To you.” And Kevin’s nuts because when he scored, he’s running down the court [saying] ‘Get the ball to me!’ And I’m laughing, I said, ‘Yeah, that’s what we’re trying to do.’

Game three probably stands as KG’s best performance of the year.

In those frightening minutes before we knew Rajon Rondo was returning, Garnett was all over the defensive side of the court, contesting shots, providing weak side help. It was Garnett who took over the game emotionally (with an assist from Paul Pierce). It was Garnett who had to be talked out of seeking revenge against Dwayne Wade. And it was Garnett who tied his season-high with 28 points and set one with 18 rebounds.

Nobody on this Miami Heat team can really guard Garnett one-on-one. Chris Bosh has the requisite height but not the required intensity or strength. Joel Anthony is game but he’s too small. Udonis Haslem is in street clothes. And that’s just in single coverage. As Kevin Arnovitz noted in his recap of KG’s scores from game three, the threat of Pierce attacking, along with a batch of excellent screens by Jermaine O’Neal and KG himself, set up Garnett’s offense.

With Rondo hobbled, and Pierce and Ray Allen still facing exhausting covers, Garnett’s effectiveness is now utterly crucial to the C’s offense — and chances of winning this series.

There shouldn’t be any strategic failure. Everybody on this planet (Earth) knows that Doc wants KG shooting 20 times a game. And at least half of those people (Earthlings) know that Doc’s preferred shot selection for his PF involves KG rolling to the rim, and going at the rim from the post — with a spattering of turnaround jumpers and face-ups from the mid-range for balance.

(It’s here I’ll wistfully note that KG also has a lethal up-and-under move he brings out about three times a season and it’d be nice to see it tonight).

So, what’s standing in the way of a ‘Garnett dominates, eliminates Heat’ headline a week or so from now?

Short of Miami coming harder with a double-team, which will open up things for everyone else, I have  two concerns.

(Although it makes a lot of sense to double off Rondo now, doesn’t it?)

First, go check Doc’s quote again. The coach was calling the plays down the stretch in the third. Not the PG. Much more than Delonte West, Rondo has the authority to get in KG’s face and insist he get down on the block if, for example, the big guy waves off a play call. If Rondo ends up sitting due to his injury, everyone else in green better be all over Garnett to get after it down in the post.

Second, Garnett has to be physically capable of carrying that kind of offensive burden four more times in eight days. He’s averaging 37.3 minutes in the second round (up from 34.0 in the first). And versus-Miami minutes aren’t the same as versus-New York minutes. Will KG be able to deliver if he’s continually asked to provide the kind of offensive punch he did on Saturday night? Will his defense suffer?

Big questions for the rest of the series.

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